GROUNDED DATA PROTOCOL:
Manual audit of Single-Family detached resale inventory only; new construction excluded. Asking prices reflect the 498 active listings on the market September 28, 2026. Days on market reflect the 171 listings currently under contract — the homes buyers actually chose. Sold figures reflect the 548 closings in the 90 days ending September 28, 2026, and close-to-list is measured per listing. Failed to sell is the share of listings resolving in that window — sold or withdrawn — that came off the market without a sale.
| Zip | Avg Price (Active) | Med Price (Active) | Med Sold (90d) | Close-to-List | Failed to Sell | Avg DOM (Pending) | Med DOM (Pending) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27502 | $723,180 | $664,500 | $605,500 | 99.2% | 24.7% | 40 Days | 24 Days |
| 27523 | $1,157,588 | $899,000 | $835,000 | 100.0% | 35.1% | 41 Days | 27 Days |
| 27526 | $522,130 | $477,000 | $450,000 | 98.9% | 36.7% | 48 Days | 31 Days |
| 27540 | $691,168 | $649,500 | $592,500 | 99.2% | 24.3% | 29 Days | 15 Days |
Grounded Perspective
Pricing: Apex/Friendship (27523) fell $121,000 to $899,000, the largest drop in this cycle, on 35 active listings. Apex (27502) eased $10,400 to $664,500. Fuquay-Varina (27526) added $2,000 to $477,000 and Holly Springs (27540) was flat at $649,500.
Velocity: Third-fastest at 24 days, a little slower than last cycle’s 23. Holly Springs is quickest at 15 days to contract, improved from 19. Apex slipped to 24 from 21 and Apex/Friendship to 27 from 18. Fuquay-Varina improved slightly to 31.
Seller Outcomes: Sellers collected 99.3% of asking, among the better figures in the audit, but 30.6% of resolutions ended without a sale. Fuquay-Varina carries the heaviest absolute load anywhere in this cycle — 128 listings gave up against 221 that sold, a 36.7% failure rate. Apex/Friendship is close behind at 35.1%.
The Bottom Line
498 active against 171 pending, and 548 closings in the last 90 days — more than any other tier. High volume, strong prices at the closing table, and nearly a third of sellers walking away without one. Fuquay-Varina alone accounts for more failed listings than most tiers produce in total.
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