GROUNDED DATA PROTOCOL:
Manual audit of Single-Family detached resale inventory only; new construction excluded. Asking prices reflect the 200 active listings on the market September 28, 2026. Days on market reflect the 83 listings currently under contract — the homes buyers actually chose. Sold figures reflect the 347 closings in the 90 days ending September 28, 2026, and close-to-list is measured per listing. Failed to sell is the share of listings resolving in that window — sold or withdrawn — that came off the market without a sale.
| Zip | Avg Price (Active) | Med Price (Active) | Med Sold (90d) | Close-to-List | Failed to Sell | Avg DOM (Pending) | Med DOM (Pending) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27511 | $734,623 | $625,000 | $558,750 | 100.0% | 20.4% | 19 Days | 9 Days |
| 27513 | $747,858 | $694,900 | $615,000 | 99.3% | 18.7% | 46 Days | 17 Days |
| 27518 | $972,863 | $749,000 | $817,933 | 100.0% | 21.3% | 22 Days | 14 Days |
| 27519 | $875,437 | $890,000 | $817,500 | 99.6% | 22.5% | 48 Days | 32 Days |
Grounded Perspective
Pricing: West Cary/Green Level (27519) led again, up $17,500 to $890,000. Central Cary (27511) added $8,500 to $625,000 and NW Cary/Preston (27513) $5,900 to $694,900. South Cary/Lochmere (27518) was effectively flat, off $500 to $749,000.
Velocity: Second-fastest at 18 days, a touch slower than last cycle’s 17. Central Cary is quickest at 9 days to contract, improved from 12. South Cary/Lochmere held at 14 and NW Cary/Preston at 17. West Cary/Green Level slipped to 32 from 27.
Seller Outcomes: The strongest tier in the audit by a clear margin. Sellers collected 99.7% of asking, the highest figure in the audit, and every one of the four zips cleared 99.3% — Central Cary and South Cary/Lochmere both landed at a full 100.0%. Only 21.0% of resolutions ended without a sale, the lowest rate anywhere in this cycle.
The Bottom Line
200 active against 83 pending, with 347 closings behind it. Prices up in three zips and flat in the fourth, the best close-to-list in the audit, and the lowest failure rate. If any tier is a seller’s market right now, it is this one.
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