GROUNDED DATA PROTOCOL:
Manual audit of Single-Family detached resale inventory only; new construction excluded. Asking prices reflect the 134 active listings on the market September 28, 2026. Days on market reflect the 51 listings currently under contract — the homes buyers actually chose. Sold figures reflect the 155 closings in the 90 days ending September 28, 2026, and close-to-list is measured per listing. Failed to sell is the share of listings resolving in that window — sold or withdrawn — that came off the market without a sale.
| Zip | Avg Price (Active) | Med Price (Active) | Med Sold (90d) | Close-to-List | Failed to Sell | Avg DOM (Pending) | Med DOM (Pending) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27560 | $659,710 | $585,000 | $587,500 | 97.7% | 37.5% | 59 Days | 61 Days |
| 27617 | $708,864 | $719,000 | $492,500 | 99.0% | 22.2% | 23 Days | 12 Days |
| 27713 | $600,815 | $514,000 | $507,000 | 98.8% | 23.0% | 37 Days | 26 Days |
Grounded Perspective
Pricing: Brier Creek (27617) jumped $34,500 to $719,000, but on 11 active listings that number should not be leaned on. Morrisville (27560) gained $15,000 to $585,000 and South Durham/Southpoint (27713) was flat at $514,000 after last cycle’s sharp drop.
Velocity: Fifth at 33 days, essentially unchanged from 32. Brier Creek is quickest at 12 days to contract. South Durham/Southpoint held at 26. Morrisville sat at 61 days for a second straight cycle, still one of the slowest zips in the audit.
Seller Outcomes: Sellers collected 98.5% of asking, the second-weakest tier, and 26.2% of resolutions ended without a sale. Morrisville is the problem again — 37.5% of its resolutions failed, 18 listings giving up against 30 selling, on top of clearing times that have not improved in three cycles.
The Bottom Line
134 active against 51 pending — the second-smallest tier. Morrisville has now posted 65, 61 and 61 day contract times across three cycles alongside the worst failure rate in this tier, and a reading that steady is structural rather than seasonal.
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