GROUNDED DATA PROTOCOL:
Manual audit of Single-Family detached resale inventory only; new construction excluded. Asking prices reflect the 505 active listings on the market October 24, 2026. Days on market reflect the 130 listings currently under contract — the homes buyers actually chose. Sold figures reflect the 547 closings in the 90 days ending October 24, 2026, and close-to-list is measured per listing. Failed to sell is the share of listings resolving in that window — sold or withdrawn — that came off the market without a sale.
| Zip | Avg Price (Active) | Med Price (Active) | Med Sold (90d) | Close-to-List | Failed to Sell | Avg DOM (Pending) | Med DOM (Pending) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27502 | $685,287 | $632,450 | $572,500 | 99.1% | 27.4% | 36 Days | 25 Days |
| 27523 | $1,108,563 | $950,000 | $796,000 | 100.0% | 21.4% | 57 Days | 21 Days |
| 27526 | $521,300 | $475,000 | $440,000 | 98.8% | 35.6% | 54 Days | 25 Days |
| 27540 | $674,525 | $635,000 | $590,000 | 99.1% | 26.7% | 39 Days | 32 Days |
Grounded Perspective
Pricing: Apex/Friendship (27523) rebounded $51,000 to $950,000 after last cycle’s steep fall. Apex (27502) gave back $32,050 to $632,450 and Holly Springs (27540) $14,500 to $635,000. Fuquay-Varina (27526) barely moved, off $2,000 to $475,000.
Velocity: Fifth at 26 days, a little slower than last cycle’s 24. Apex/Friendship is quickest at 21 days and Fuquay-Varina posted 25, improved from 31. Holly Springs slipped to 32 days from 15, the largest single step back in the tier. The pending pool fell 24%, so these times rest on a thinner base than the counts suggest.
Seller Outcomes: Sellers collected 99.3% of asking, among the strongest in the audit, and Apex/Friendship closed at a full 100.0% across 44 sales. Against that, 30.6% of resolutions ended without a sale. Fuquay-Varina carries the heaviest absolute load anywhere in this cycle: 130 listings gave up against 235 that sold.
The Bottom Line
505 active against 130 pending, with 547 closings behind it — more than any other tier. Inventory was flat while contracts fell by nearly a quarter. The homes that sell here still command close to asking; the gap between that and a 30.6% failure rate is the whole story of this market right now.
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