GROUNDED DATA PROTOCOL:
Manual audit of Single-Family detached resale inventory only; new construction excluded. Prices reflect the 126 active listings on the market September 15, 2026. Days on market reflect the 50 listings currently under contract — the homes buyers actually chose.
| Zip | Avg Price (Active) | Med Price (Active) | Avg DOM (Pending) | Med DOM (Pending) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27560 | $639,072 | $570,000 | 68 Days | 61 Days |
| 27617 | $708,100 | $684,500 | 10 Days | 9 Days |
| 27713 | $602,062 | $514,250 | 35 Days | 26 Days |
Grounded Perspective
Pricing: South Durham/Southpoint (27713) carried the whole tier down, its median off $25,750 to $514,250 with the average down $74,917 across 88 active listings — the most substantial price move in this cycle backed by a pool large enough to trust. Morrisville (27560) and Brier Creek (27617) both held their medians exactly, at $570,000 and $684,500.
Velocity: A tier split in two, improved overall to 32 days from 38. Brier Creek collapsed from 28 days to contract down to 9, though on a 4-listing pending pool that number should not be leaned on. Morrisville remains among the slowest zips in the audit at 61 days despite improving 4. South Durham/Southpoint slipped to 26 days from 21.
The Bottom Line
126 active against 50 pending — the second-smallest tier after ITB Core. Morrisville has now cleared at 61 days and 65 days in consecutive cycles, and that is starting to look structural rather than seasonal.
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