GROUNDED DATA PROTOCOL:
Manual audit of Single-Family detached resale inventory only; new construction excluded. Asking prices reflect the 145 active listings on the market October 24, 2026. Days on market reflect the 46 listings currently under contract — the homes buyers actually chose. Sold figures reflect the 142 closings in the 90 days ending October 24, 2026, and close-to-list is measured per listing. Failed to sell is the share of listings resolving in that window — sold or withdrawn — that came off the market without a sale.
| Zip | Avg Price (Active) | Med Price (Active) | Med Sold (90d) | Close-to-List | Failed to Sell | Avg DOM (Pending) | Med DOM (Pending) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27560 | $694,821 | $619,000 | $575,000 | 97.7% | 41.7% | 55 Days | 31 Days |
| 27617 | $703,791 | $699,000 | $560,000 | 98.9% | 22.7% | 31 Days | 23 Days |
| 27713 | $624,719 | $490,000 | $495,000 | 98.9% | 24.2% | 41 Days | 18 Days |
Grounded Perspective
Pricing: Morrisville (27560) added $34,000 to $619,000. South Durham/Southpoint (27713) eased $24,000 to $490,000 from $514,000, and Brier Creek (27617) gave back $20,000 to $699,000 on just 11 active listings.
Velocity: Fourth at 24 days, improved from 33. Morrisville drove it, cutting time to contract from 61 days to 31 after three cycles at 65, 61 and 61 — but on a 7-listing pending pool, so the improvement needs another cycle before it means anything. South Durham/Southpoint came in at 18 days and Brier Creek at 23.
Seller Outcomes: Sellers collected 98.5% of asking, the second-weakest tier, and 28.3% of resolutions failed. Morrisville is the concern again at 41.7% — 20 listings gave up against 28 that sold, the second-worst rate in the audit. Its contract times improved sharply this cycle while its failure rate stayed among the worst, which usually means the listings that were never going to sell are the ones leaving.
The Bottom Line
145 active against 46 pending — the second-smallest tier. Morrisville finally broke its long-stalled pattern, and that is worth noting, but more than two in five of its resolved listings still ended without a sale.
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